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2024-12-14 03:23:50

German Chancellor Scholz: Decisions need to be made before the end of the year, such as improving children's welfare. It is necessary to solve the financial drag problem before the end of the year.Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: It is still a consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. JOSH HIRT, a senior American economist at VANGUARD, said: "The US CPI data in November confirmed the market consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. We are still paying close attention to the strength of the labor market and the potential inflationary stickiness of some components of inflation (housing and services) before 2025. "Goldman Sachs: CPI clears the way for the Fed to cut interest rates next week. It is expected that the policy will be gradually relaxed in the future. Whitney Watson, an analyst at Goldman Sachs: Today's CPI data clears the way for next week's interest rate cut. After today's data is released, the Fed will start a "silent period", and they still have confidence in the process of anti-inflation. We believe that the Fed will further gradually relax monetary policy in the new year.


COSCO Shipping once again won the bid for Qatar Energy Project. On December 11th, according to the official news of COSCO Shipping, the awarding ceremony of six QC-MAX 271,000-square-meter super-large LNG carriers for Qatar Energy Project was held at the Doha headquarters of Qatar Energy Company. Shanghai COSCO Shipping LNG, a subsidiary of COSCO Shipping Energy, and Mitsui, a merchant ship, jointly won the bid. Previously, in 2022, the two parties jointly won the bid for seven 174,000-square-meter LNG carriers of the project for the first time.Blonde Technology: Shareholders holding more than 5% of the shares plan to transfer 2% of the shares internally. Blonde Technology announced that as of the announcement date, Ms. Xiong Haitao, a shareholder, holds 122 million shares of the company, accounting for 4.64% of the company's total share capital; Ms. Xiong Haitao and her concerted actions hold a total of 216 million shares, accounting for 8.2% of the total share capital. Ms. Xiong Haitao plans to sign an agreement with Warburg Wanying Private Equity Fund to increase it as a concerted action, and plans to transfer no more than 52.73 million shares to it through block trading, that is, no more than 2% of the total share capital. After the transfer is completed, Huabao Wanying will entrust Ms. Xiong Haitao with the right to vote on the shares. This internal transfer does not involve market reduction, and the shareholding ratio remains unchanged, which does not affect the company's control.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.


German Chancellor Angela Scholz submitted an application for a vote of confidence, and German Chancellor Angela Scholz sent a request to Parliament on Wednesday to hold a vote of confidence on December 16th, thus paving the way for early federal elections next year. Since the collapse of the coalition of political parties led by Scholz, the policy-making in Europe's largest economy has basically stagnated. If, as expected, Scholz loses the vote of confidence, he must ask the President to dissolve Parliament and hold a new election. Scholz and the opposition parties unanimously agreed to hold a general election on February 23rd next year. Last week, French Prime Minister Banier lost in a vote of no confidence, which highlighted the unusual political instability faced by these two European powers.Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao signed a new round of strategic agreement on the development of the accounting industry. On the 11th, Guangdong Institute of Certified Public Accountants, Hong Kong Institute of Certified Public Accountants, Hong Kong Association of Auditors of Listed Companies, Macao Accounting Professional Association, certified public accountants associations in nine cities in Greater Bay Area and 188 accounting firms in Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao jointly signed the Strategic Agreement on the Development of the Accounting Industry in Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao (2024). (Xinhua News Agency)OPEC Monthly Report: The recent steady economic growth trend is still continuing. The OPEC Monthly Report points out that in recent months, the steady economic growth trend is still continuing, especially in the United States, Brazil and Russia. In addition, China's stimulus measures and India's sustained growth momentum have contributed to supporting global economic growth. With these developments, the global economic growth in 2024 is expected to be 3.1%. The strong economic growth momentum is expected to continue until 2025 and is expected to reach 3.0%. However, the healthy growth observed in the United States during 2024 is expected to slow down slightly in 2025. However, the current growth forecast may be affected by the potential new policy measures being discussed by the incoming US government, such as trade tariffs, which will also affect the growth of US trading partner economies. In the euro zone, the recovery will continue gradually in the third quarter of 2024, but the improvement in the fourth quarter and 2025 is expected to be limited. Japan is expected to rebound in the second half of 2024 and continue until 2025, after a challenging period.

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